@bthall @mplouffe I'd hope it'd humble Macroeconomists a bit more if they understood their roots out of stuff like "NORTH AMERICAN HOG SUPPLY: A COMPARISON OF GEOMETRIC AND POLYNOMIAL DISTRIBUTED LAG MODELS" and similar. Not to hate, but gives context.
Muth had written in the 60s (61 iirc?), so Meilke and co. weren't direct forbears - they're like 2/3rd gen adaptive expectations scholars.
Prob go back to Ezekiel, Nerlove adaptive expectations work which Muth was a response to.
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